The threat of Super El Nino bringing "significant snow" to New York continues to grow.

El Nino is expected to gain strength over the second-half of 2026 and turn into what weather experts call a "Super El Nino"

What Is A Super El Nino

David McNew, Getty Images
David McNew, Getty Images

A Super El Niño is when a huge part of the Pacific Ocean gets much warmer than usual, acting like a giant heater that completely messes up global weather. This extra heat causes extreme weather around the world.

In New York, a "Super El Niño" typically disrupts seasonal norms. During the summer, it leads to a hotter-than-average summer followed by an unseasonably warm, yet potentially storm-heavy, winter.

This year, El Nino is expected to bring "heavy rain and significant snow" in New York, experts say.

El Nino Arrives

Getty Images
Getty Images

The NOAA confirmed that El Nino conditions have started in the Pacific. They expect El Nino to intensify through the end of the year.

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Some forecast models show it could be the strongest Super El Nino ever.

4 States Bracing For Significant Snow

Andrew Burton, Getty Images
Andrew Burton, Getty Images

The most recent Super El Niño winter forecast map is highlights four states where residents should be bracing for "significant snow" and heavy precipitation during the upcoming 2026–2027 winter season.

Those states are northern California, Vermont, New Hampshire, and New York.

New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire are projected to bear the brunt of combined heavy rainfall and significant snow accumulation, officials predict.

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The 2026–2027 Super El Niño winter forecast for New York indicates a volatile, high-stakes season characterized by heavy precipitation, intensified coastal storms, and a razor-thin margin between significant snow and heavy, flooding rain.

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