Last week kicked me in the butt. I was trying to be the smartest guy in the room and I was not! So going into Week 7 I'm going to try to get back to what works for me. Remember these are my "Leans" meaning it's my first reaction to this weeks games. My Locks will be out Thursday.

Chiefs -4.5 at Denver

The Broncos may be starting to finally find their identity under first year head coach Vic Fangio and first year Offensive Coordinator Rich Scangarello. In the Broncos last two games they won by running the ball more than they threw it and playing solid defense. Meanwhile the Chiefs have ZERO running game and can't stop the run.

Broncos +4.5

Cardinals at Giants -3

The Cardinals have been able to score points and have won their last two games. The Giants lost big to the Patriots but showed the ability to hang with the Champs without Saquon Barkley, Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram to name a few players that missed the week.

Giants -3 (bet this early...once Barkley is official it'll balloon)

Texans at Colts -2.5

The Colts are a well run tough team. I picked the Texans to win it all and they just looked great against the Chiefs. Colts had two weeks to prepare and are home. Let down game for the Texans?

Colts -2.5

Dolphins at Bills -15.5

This is already up to -17 for the Bills.

Fins +17

Vikings at Lions PK

Lions will pressure Cousins and Cousins will throw more INTs than TDs.

Lions

Raiders at Packers -7

Raiders are good and had two weeks to prepare vs a short week for the Pack.

Raiders +7

Jags -3 at Bengals

Bengals suck

Jags -3

Rams -3 at Falcons

Rams are smack in the middle of an identity crisis. If Gurley plays Rams win.

Rams -3 OVER

49ers -10 at Redskins

49ers are real and Skins are real bad.

49ers -10

Chargers at Titans -1

Titans are the best of the bad teams.

Titans -1

Ravens at Seahawks -3.5

BEST GAME OF THE WEEK!!!!

Seahawks -3.5

Saints at Bears - 3.5

Bears are a way better version of the Jags and the Jags gave the Saints all they could handle.

Bears -3.5

Eagles at Cowboys -3

Wow this game was supposed to be important. Loser has to worry about the Giants catching them...Yes I mean it.

Boys -3

Pats -10 at Jets

Darnold makes the difference.

Jets + 10