We're off to a hot start this week with the 49ers taking care of business on Thursday night. That pick was made on 'The Drive' on our weekly 4:30 segment on Thursday's. This week, we look to complete the sweep for the first time in the 2024 season.

Season Record: 11-14-1, 44 W/L%

Arizona Cardinals @ Green Bay Packers, 1:00, FOX

In what should be one of the more interesting games on the slate, Kyler Murray and the Cardinals are looking to roll an impressive win on the road over to this trip against Jordan Love and Green Bay. Arizona has been gaining a reputation in the betting world as a team who can keep it close on the road, covering five of their last six in these spots. The Packers were my preseason Super Bowl pick, but with this spread it seems like you’re betting as if we’ve seen Jordan Love be an elite QB thus far, which simply isn’t the case. I expect the Cardinals offense to be able to keep this one close enough in Lambeau.

PICK: Cardinals +5.5

Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles, 1:00, FOX

Is there any team in a worse position in pro sports right now, than the Cleveland Browns? Deshaun Watson can safely be labeled the worst trade acquisition by a major sports team of all time. He’s gone five straight without going for over 200 passing yards, and is averaging just 4.84 yards per attempt in 2024. The Browns are also missing key members on their defense for a contest where Philly will get their two star receivers AJ Brown, and Devonta Smith back in the lineup, as well as right tackle Lane Johnson. With the pressure on Eagles HC Nick Sirianni, this team won’t let their foot off the gas pedal against this depleted Browns team. Philly takes this one by two scores.

PICK: Eagles -8.5

Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos, 4:05, CBS

In what is one of the more confusing lines of the week, the Chargers come into this one fresh off a much needed bye to get their key guys healthy. Justin Herbert and standout rookie left tackle Joe Alt should be less hobbled for this one, as well as RB J.K. Dobbins. In my mind, weeks 6-8 are where you can truly identify which teams are legit, and who has fooled us through the first third of NFL action. It’s possible that the Broncos aren’t as good as they’ve shown over the last three weeks. They now get a date with the better head coach, the better quarterback, and the more well rested Los Angeles team. A team who has given up a league best 12.5 points a game on defense, and is one of six teams in the league to allow less than 100 yards rushing per contest. The Chargers win this one by a touchdown.

PICK: Chargers -2.5 (Pick made with Thursday line)

Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys, 4:25, FOX

In America’s game of the week, the Cowboys are riding high after gritting out a road win against the Steelers, while doing something they’ve rarely done all season, stopping the run. However, they now face a Lions team that has been exceptional at running the football through five games, averaging over 150 yards per game. Dallas will still be without Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence in this one, as well. In 2023, Jared Goff in 14 games in a dome, held an 11-3 record, 69.8% completion percentage, 277 yards per game, 28 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, and a 106.4 quarterback rating. I expect the Lions to be able to contain this Dallas front seven, allowing Goff, who with a clean pocket this year has completed 73.6% of his passes, averaging 8.5 yards per attempt, to operate successfully. Theo Lions also have a reputation much like the Cardinals, covering in six of their last seven games as a road favorite.

PICK: Lions -3

Player Props

Season Record: 13-12

A.J. Brown O 5.5 receptions vs Browns

  • Hit this number in 11/16 contests in 2024
  • Hurts will make it an emphasis to get him involved early back from injury
  • Browns pass defense is not healthy going into this game

Kyler Murray O 213.5 passing yards at GB

  • Likely will be close game/chasing points
  • Number lower than usual based on this season's stats
  • GB has allowed 255.4 pass yards per contest

Drake Maye O 0.5 passing TDs vs HOU

  • Belief in locker room is that decision to start Maye is overdue
  • Likely will be chasing points based on game script
  • Line is surprisingly favorable: -135

Joe Burrow O 1.5 Pass TDs at NYG

  • Will simply bet this line until it does not hit
  • Has hit this number in 4 straight, 9/10
  • Giants secondary will struggle to keep pace with this offense

Breece Hall O 52.5 rushing yards vs BUF

  • New play-caller Todd Downing will make it a point to get him going early
  • Hit this number in first three games this season
  • Buffalo has struggled to stop the run thus far

All odds according to DraftKings Sportsbook

Good luck in Week 6!

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