1045 The Team Staff’s 2018 Fantasy Football Preview
This week on Levack and Goz, the show had a fantasy football expert join the show once a week to give their predictions for the season. If you missed any of the interviews, click on the full playlist below.
Now the staff at 1045 The Team is offering their Do's and Don'ts for the upcoming year. Who do you agree and disagree with? What players do you love and hate for fantasy football in 2018? Let us know below.
Jeff Levack, Co host of Levack and Goz 2-7pm
QB
I absolutely love Jared Goff this year! He is in his third full year in the league, and his second year in the Sean McVay offense! He thrived last year once he got out of the Jeff Fisher system. He threw for almost 4000 yards and 28 touchdowns and only threw 7 interceptions! He had the likes of Robert Woods and a very iffy Sammy Watkins. Plus the young up and coming rookie wide receiver Cooper Kupp. Tyler Higbee and Gerald Everett also played a huge factor. And of course getting to hand the ball off to the human freak show Todd Gurley III isn’t a terrible thing either! Add in one of my favorite receivers in the NFL in Brandin Cooks and I think Goff is poised for a monster year and maybe some hardware at the end of it in the form of an NFL MVP! Watch out for Goff possible 5000 plus yards and 40 touchdowns to carry your fantasy football team this year!
QB:
Love- Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles
Don’t let the ACL tear fool you. Last year in 13 games, Wentz put up MVP numbers until the injury and became an elite QB (both in real life and fantasy). Before the injury, he was the top points getter in all of football and still managed to finish 5th in standard ESPN formats once the year was done. This offseason Wentz’s recovery has progressed very nicely, and he looks primed to start Week 1 against Atlanta with even more weapons at his disposal than last year. The injury might scare some owners away, and it would be a steal to see Wentz become your QB in the 5th or 6th round.
Hate- Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys
This isn’t rocket science, folks. Prescott is entering this year’s preseason ranked as the 14th QB in standard ESPN formats. Quite frankly, this dude shouldn’t even be rostered except for the bye week fill-in. Let’s not even look at numbers, let’s talk common sense. Gone is Dez Bryant and Jason Witten. The offensive line is already banged up (see Zack Martin). The Cowboys’ WR group is like the town of misfit toys, their WR1 is Cole Beasley. Cole. Beasely. Yes, the 5’8” WR that definitely can take on the best corners in football. Beasely is followed by the likes of Terrance Williams, Allen Hurns, Mike Gallup *enter Connor McGregor’s “who the fook is that guy meme?”*. They also have rookie TE in Geoff Swaim replacing Witten, yikes. Needless to say, I’m passing on Prescott in an offense catered to hand the ball off to Zeke until his legs fall off.
RB:
Love- Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints
I’ll be the first to say this, there is no way it is humanly possible for Kamara to maintain the unicorn pace he had in 2017. Most people expect that the Saints will deploy the two-headed monster they did last year with Kamara paired with Mark Ingram. Remember, Ingram is suspended for the first 4 games of the season, he’s a free agent come offseason, and you know he’s not coming back to NO. This is the year Kamara runs away with this job. Sean Payton loves the kid, and how could you not? WITH Ingram in the picture Kamara averaged over 24 points in ESPN standard formats over the last 14 games of the season. That’s not even PPR. That’s better than Leveon and Gurley over that same span. What Kamara did last year was incredible, and there is no way he’s not going to be a focal point in this offense. He is a top 5 RB for me this year, especially in PPR.
Hate- Leonard Fournette, Jacksonville Jaguars
I have a hard time seeing Fournette as a top 10 RB this year in either ESPN format. When healthy, he is very good. But, that’s the key. Health. Fournette has missed significant time the last two seasons because of injury, at LSU and Jacksonville, which makes you question if he can really take on a workhorse back role. He offers nearly nothing in the passing game and has Blake Bortles as his QB in an offense that just lost WR1 in Allen Robinson. This offense, as usual, will struggle mightily to get into the red zone where Fournette is most useful. He’s overvalued as ESPN’s 8th RB in standard rankings.
WR:
Love- Davante Adams, Green Bay Packers
Jordy Nelson is no longer there. You have seen the chemistry grow with Aaron Rodgers the past two seasons. Now, it’s time for Adams to be the go-to guy. GB brought in Jimmy Graham, but that isn’t going to impact Adams’ ability to stretch the field, make room where there isn’t, and lead the team in receptions on an offense that has been nearly unstoppable with Rodgers at the helm. Adams already had 10+ TD’s the last two years to go along with 40 red zone targets in that time. Guess what- that’s second best in the entire league over that span. Even better, some of that was with Brett Hundley at QB. It would not surprise me to see Adams become an elite WR in this league and he is a tier 1 receiver for me this season.
Hate- Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Before you scream at the screen, I don’t HATE Evans. Hear me out on this. When it comes to WR (and any position really), you have to look at where they’re ranked and ask yourself if you think they will produce at, below, or above the bar set. When I look at Evans, he’s an elite talent. Look at the situation he finds himself in, though. Jameis Winston is suspended for the first 3 games which means Ryan “Fitzmajic” is the starter to start the year. The Winston era is hitting a brick wall and who knows the future at that position for TB. This, of course, affects the WR’s. This team will be playing catch up a lot this season so there is chance for garbage time. Let’s look more specific at Evans. Last season he ended with only 1,001 yards and 5 TD’s on a healthy 9.1 targets a game. Sounds good, but it’s really not especially for a WR of his caliber. He caught 5/19 red zone targets last year which for you math guys out there comes in at 26.3%. For all eligible receivers for that stat (13 targets minimum), Evans was last. LAST. Evans needs to learn to make more of his opportunity. The talent is there, the consistency from year to year is not. For a top 10 WR in the preseason standard format ESPN rankings, the ingredients aren’t exactly there to bake the cake this season.
TE:
Love- Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles
Finally. For years everyone sat there and said, “this is the year Ertz breaks out”. I think we saw last year that Ertz is an elite TE in this league. He is by far Carson Wentz’s favorite target (Nick Foles’ too). Even with Dallas Goedert drafted and being brought into the fold, Ertz is THE guy outside of Alshon Jeffery in the red zone. With Alshon’s health in question to start the season, I see more targets headed towards Ertz in that area. Coming off a season where he led the team in receptions (74) and yards (824) in one of the best offenses in football, you can only think Ertz will have as good, if not better, production heading into the 2018 season.
Hate- Jordan Reed, Washington Redskins
Name a season Reed played all 16 games.
……..
*crickets*
……..
If you’re still trying to figure out why you can’t think of one, it’s because he never has. The most games he has played in his NFL career is 14 back in 2015. The last 2 years he’s played in 18 of his 32 games. There is no denying when healthy he can be a top 10 TE, maybe even top 5. The talent is there. But the guy simply can’t stay on the field. The transition form Kirk Cousins to Alex Smith should help Reed’s production but it’s not enough to rely on him as your TE1. At best you carry him as your backup, he stays healthy, and you can either flip him in a trade or he outperforms the other TE you have on the roster. Coming in at 11 on ESPN’s standard format rankings, you can find value elsewhere in that middle-tier.