Closer’s Breeders Cup Friday Preview
In the past, Breeders Cup Friday was known for the ladies and highlighted by the Distaff. This year, it will be future stars Friday at Churchill Downs. Five Breeders Cup races set for Friday and will feature many profitable betting opportunities to pad the bankroll for Saturday. Let's do this!!!
Race 5: Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint (3:21ET)
(#7) Shang Shang Shang 5-1
Wesley Ward is a trainer you must look at when it comes to the Breeders Cup. Coming off an impressive victory in the Norfolk Stakes at Royal Ascot, this undefeated daughter of Shanghai Bobby looks the part. The layoff is the main question mark but Ward tried multiple times to enter her at the rainy Saratoga meet but was unable too. Look for her to be on or near the lead.
(#1) Strike Silver 4-1
This Mark Casse trained colt comes off a flying finish to grab the money in the Indian Summer at Keeneland. Bumped at the break, this colt swung 6 wide and closed into moderate pace. If speed doesn't hold up, look for this colt to be flying late.
(#4) Stillwater Cove (Longshot play at 20-1)
Another of the four Wesley Ward trained horses. Cuts back to the 5 1/2 furlongs after a try at a mile last out in the Grade 1 Natalma which had her in the lead late in the race. The cut back is the main play and if I can get Irad Ortiz Jr. and Wesley Ward at 20-1....Ill take it!
Race 6: Breeders Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (4pm ET)
(#6) Newspaperofrecord **Best Bet** 2-1
Chad Brown has dominated this race, winning 3 of the last 4 runnings and has another big chance with this 2 year old filly. She broke her maiden impressively at Saratoga and then dominated the competition in the Mrs. Grillo at Belmont last out. A race the seems to lack speed will put her on or near the front runners and should be tough to beat in this spot.
(#1) Concrete Rose 6-1
This undefeated daughter of Twirling Candy was purchased for a mere $61,000 and has a grade 2 on her resume. She sat a beautiful trip in the Jessamine and opened up to win impressively. The inside post should help her save ground, just hope she doesn't get boxed in at the top of the stretch.
(#3) Lily's Candle (FR) 8-1
Bet the grey horse they say, so we will use this filly who will be flying late. She upset the Grade 1 Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac on Arc day at Lonchamp at 27-1! She closed into a slow pace and was perfectly timed for the victory. Perfect at the distance and can pick up the pieces if speed doesn't hold.
Race 7: Breeders Cup Juvenile Filles (4:40 ET)
(#2) Serengeti Empress 7-2
I believe Tom Amoss is sitting on a really nice filly here. She had a tough trip 3 back in the Schuylerville, losing the whip late. She bounced back with two dominating performances including the Grade 2 Pocahontas at Churchill Downs winning by 19 lengths!! A win over the track at the distance is a big plus for me.
(#10) Bellafina 2-1
Back to back Grade 1 victories for this daughter of Quality Road and was impressive in both. My only question is the horses she has beaten and with a much bigger field, how will she handle the outside post? If she is on her game, could be the horse to beat.
(#4) Restless Rider 9-2
The distance might be perfect for this filly as she won the Grade 1 Darley Alcibiades at this distance last out. The 4 post should help her sit off the speed and have a pocket to save ground and close on the leaders down the lane.
Race 8: Breeders Cup Juvenile Turf (5:22 ET)
(#10) War of Will 12-1
Even being a maiden, this colt out of War Front has been impressive in all 3 of his races. I feel the price and the lack of speed in this race could help him get a good spot early and the cut back in distance should help to finish off the closers at the Mile distance.
This Big Brown colt just missed in the Grade 3 Pilgrim and this could be the perfect distance. Jose Ortiz is one of the best and should be able to get this colt in a good spot at a big price.
(#12) Current 5-1
This son of Curlin closed impressively in the Grade 3 Dixiana Bourbon at Keeneland for the victory. Outside post is a question mark but could be another one of many horses flying late.
Race 9: Breeders Cup Juvenile (6:05 ET)
(#9) Game Winner 8-5
Bob Baffert has yet another Kentucky Derby and possible Triple Crown hopeful here. Back to back Grade 1 victories but the ability to rate could make this colt tough as many horses will be on or near the lead. Should be very tough in this spot.
(#6) Complexity 5-2
Chad Brown comes in with this undefeated Champagne winner. Opened up in the middle of the stretch but had trouble switching leads until the 1/8 pole. Good early speed should leave this colt a nice spot early but with question marks. Can he candle the extra 1/16 of a mile and will he get caught in a speed duel? If he answers those questions, he will be close.
(#7) Mind Control 20-1
This 2 year old son of Stay Thirsty was a game winner in the Grade 1 Hopeful at Saratoga. Bullet work last out proves the horse is coming in sharp and could be the horse to catch as i expect Irad Ortiz to be aggressive out of the gate. Use in Triples and Supers.
Best of luck on Breeders Cup Friday!!